"This is the biggest boom we've ever had," said Mr. Shiller…. "So a very plausible scenario is that home-price increases continue for a couple more years, and then we might have a recession and they continue down into negative territory and languish for a decade.
"It doesn't even attract that much attention," he continued. "There will be many people thinking it was a soft landing even though prices may have gone down in real terms by 40 percent."
Even if Mr. Shiller is right, there’s still time to cash out. According to another article in today’s Times, online bettor markets (which predicted a Bush victory and the new Pope, among other things), are now taking bets on real estate, and in the short run, things look good:
Now one of these markets has turned its gaze to a consumer activity that is a favorite discussion topic these days: real estate. And the bettors see no signs of a bursting bubble anytime soon.
So, stop freaking and get flipping!